US
US Interest Rates
Topic
42.1%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 11
Pending: 91
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The Federal Reserve expects inflation to return to the 2% target after 2027.
"In this case, they believe that inflation will eventually return to their 2% target, but not until a..."
Jun 18, 2025
Pending
The number of anticipated Fed rate cuts for 2025 is likely to decrease from the previous projection of two cuts, due to rising inflation.
"The last time that we had it, they voted, I think it was about two this year. It's probably going to..."
Jun 18, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve anticipates one or two rate cuts this year and potentially one next year due to expected higher inflation and slower growth.
"Basically, this means that they expect slightly higher inflation, slightly slower growth, and that's..."
Jun 18, 2025
Pending
A 25 basis point interest rate cut is predicted for this year, contingent on economic conditions.
"I tend to believe that we'll likely see a 25 basis point rate cut at some point this year if conditi..."
Jun 18, 2025
Correct
The Fed's dot plot is predicted to indicate only one interest rate cut for the year, down from the previously expected two.
"I don't think they're going to indicate more. And I think if anything, it's going to get worse to on..."
Jun 16, 2025
Pending
Powell is predicted to reduce interest rates if Trump reduces or clarifies tariffs.
"I really believe that if Trump just reduced these tariffs or gave clarity about these tariffs, Powel..."
Jun 11, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve to implement 1-2 interest rate cuts by the end of 2025.
"So I think that we still have a good chance of getting at least one to two uh fed rate cuts uh by th..."
Jun 3, 2025
Pending
No interest rate cuts are expected from the Fed for at least the next two months.
"the Fed still hasn't pivoted yet. QT is still continuing. We don't expect to see any rate cuts at le..."
May 5, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve may implement quantitative easing (QE 2.0) to stabilize the bond market due to rising interest rates.
"So, the Federal Reserve might have to step in and start buying US treasuries to stabilize the bond m..."
Apr 14, 2025
Incorrect
If China continues to sell US treasuries, US interest rates will rise, making loans like mortgages, credit cards, and car loans more expensive.
"First, US interest rates could go up making mortgages, credit cards and of course car loans a lot mo..."
Apr 14, 2025
Correct
The actions taken from this point forward will be critical in determining the future of global economic systems and reserve currencies.
"And that's how you get two separate economic systems or two world reserve currencies. Now, we're not..."
Apr 14, 2025
Pending
The Fed is expected to implement two quarter-percent rate cuts in 2025, bringing the Fed fund rate to approximately 3.9% later this year.
"But two quarter% cuts are still expected this year, taking the Fed fund rate down to around 3.9% lat..."
Mar 28, 2025
Incorrect
The first Fed rate cut of the year is predicted to occur in May 2025, or almost certainly by June 2025.
"There's very strong bets on the prediction markets that we get a cut in May. If not May, almost cert..."
Mar 28, 2025
Incorrect
Tariffs may keep prices elevated, leading the market to anticipate higher interest rates for an extended period.
"there's the very real concern that tariffs could actually cause prices to begin going higher causing..."
Feb 28, 2025
Correct
Interest rate cuts are not expected soon, with a long period ahead until inflation reaches the 2% target, especially if tariff costs are passed to consumers.
"we're not going to get rate Cuts anytime soon there's likely going to be a long road ahead of us esp..."
Feb 20, 2025
Pending
The US Federal Reserve is likely to keep interest rates stable for at least a few more months due to elevated inflation.
"there are great chances that the Fed may not reduce the Fed fund rate or may not reduce interest rat..."
Feb 14, 2025
Pending
US interest rates will be cut.
"I will go out in the limb here and say that I forecast the rates will be cut."
Jan 20, 2025
Pending
Interest rate cuts will be less aggressive.
"now they're now going to be cutting interest rates less aggressively"
Jan 13, 2025
Pending
Mando predicts the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates again next week (from 2024-11-12).
"they probably they may cut them again next week"
Nov 12, 2024
Pending
US interest rates are predicted to continue decreasing.
"interest rates will likely continue to come down"
Nov 7, 2024
Pending
Despite short-term rate cuts expected, medium to long-term US interest rates (5-10 years) are anticipated to rise in the coming years due to strong growth potentially leading to increased inflation.
"the long medium to long-term rates so 5 to 10 years have gone up... they're expecting potentially in..."
Oct 7, 2024
Pending
Expect a couple more rate cuts over the next two meetings, totaling either 50 or 75 basis points overall.
"we can probably expect another couple of rate Cuts it's just a question of whether it's going to be ..."
Sep 23, 2024
Pending
At least another 50 basis points of interest rate cuts are expected in the next few months, towards the end of the year.
"so that's about if we were to extrapolate that out uh that means that we're talking about at least a..."
Sep 23, 2024
Pending
Two more 25 basis point interest rate cuts are likely, or potentially one 50 basis point cut.
"we could see another two cuts um of 25 basis points or one of 50 but I'm think they're most likely t..."
Sep 23, 2024
Pending
Interest rate futures suggest a 75 basis point cut towards the end of the year, with a 50% probability of rates falling between 400 and 425 basis points.
"interest rate Futures are expecting a different probability and a signning more of a you know here s..."
Sep 23, 2024
Pending
The bond market anticipates that interest rates may need to be raised again in the future due to potential resurgent inflation and a strong economy.
"the bond market thinks that you know they're going to have to later on come back and F and raise int..."
Sep 23, 2024
Pending
The US is expected to continue cutting interest rates for the next couple of years.
"cutting rates most likely for the next couple of years"
Sep 16, 2024
Pending
There is an 80% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed on the upcoming Wednesday.
"there's an 80% chance of 50 basis point cut on Wednesday"
Sep 16, 2024
Pending
Markets are pricing in approximately 120 basis points of rate cuts by the end of the year, implying a 50 basis point cut in at least one of the remaining three Fed meetings.
"The markets are pricing in about 120 basis points in terms of like by the end of the year, which wou..."
Sep 16, 2024
Pending
By early 2025, US interest rates are projected to be around 4%, down from the current approximately 5.25%.
"We're currently what around 5.25%. So, we might go down to five. We might go just below five. We're ..."
Sep 16, 2024
Pending
Goldman Sachs reduced the chance of a US recession in the next year from 20% to 15%, potentially aligning stars for a Fed pivot and interest rate cut in September, with talk of a 50 basis point reduction.
"all of these fact together um led Goldman Sachs for example to say that they reduced their chance of..."
Aug 19, 2024
Pending
The market probability suggests a 70% chance of a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
"so the market thinks that the FED is more than likely to be at 70% chance of uh 25 basis point cut y..."
Aug 19, 2024
Pending
Interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are not expected to cause home prices to increase.
"even then there might be a little boost with the rate Cuts but I don't I'm not expecting rate cuts t..."
Aug 12, 2024
Pending
The market anticipates a 50 basis point interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve in September.
"the market is pricing in the strong likelihood of a 50 basis point rate cut as soon as this Septembe..."
Aug 6, 2024
Pending
The US Federal Reserve is 100% anticipated to cut interest rates in September (2024).
"but there is 100% anticipation that they will do it in the month of September"
Aug 3, 2024
Incorrect
US investors and swap traders expect the Federal Reserve to signal a rate cut in September 2024, with potentially two further reductions by the end of the year.
"investors expect that officials will signal a move in September as risks grow of imperiling a solid ..."
Jul 30, 2024
Pending
The odds of a US Federal Reserve rate cut are expected to shift significantly on Friday.
"the rate cut odds are going to move more on Friday"
Jul 30, 2024
Pending
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon is reportedly predicting up to two Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2024.
"Goldman CEO David Solomon reportedly now seeing up to two rate Cuts in 2024"
Jul 30, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates.
"I think the FED is going to cut rates"
Jul 28, 2024
Pending
US interest rates will remain at 5% for an extended period.
"I think rates will be 5% for quite a long time"
Jul 28, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to substantially lower interest rates, leading to a much lower interest rate environment by early 2027.
"by that time we're talking about the fed's going to likely have lowered interest rates in a substant..."
Jul 4, 2024
Pending
A September 2024 interest rate cut is predicted with 70% certainty.
"70% chance of a September rate cut so we can pretty much Bank on a September rate cut happening"
Jul 1, 2024
Pending
FED interest rates are not expected to change at the June 12, 2024 meeting.
"We don't expect the interest rates to change in this meeting but we will have an updated dotplot whi..."
Jun 12, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve will demonstrate a dovish stance on Wednesday (June 12, 2024), but aggressive rate cuts are unlikely before the US election.
"I do think we'll see a more doish fed on Wednesday but I but I don't think we will probably see a ra..."
Jun 10, 2024
Pending
No aggressive US interest rate cuts are expected before the November 5, 2024 election.
"I don't think we will probably see a rate cut or at least aggressive amount of rate Cuts before the ..."
Jun 10, 2024
Pending
US economic data will shift to support rate cuts immediately following the (November 2024) US election, due to political influence.
"my guess is that the data will suddenly start pointing to the idea that we need to have rate Cuts ju..."
Jun 10, 2024
Pending
There is a 62% probability of a Fed rate cut by November (2024).
"43% by September 62% by November that's when the elections are happening and that's more than half s..."
Jun 10, 2024
Pending
Economic data is predicted to suddenly indicate the need for US rate cuts immediately after the US election.
"my guess is that the data will suddenly start pointing to the idea that we need to have rate Cuts ju..."
Jun 10, 2024
Pending
A US interest rate cut is most likely to occur around November 8, 2024, after the US election.
"the elections November 5th and the next that fed meeting is like November 8th so it's just after the..."
Jun 10, 2024
Pending
There is a 62% chance of a US interest rate cut by November 2024.
"43% by September 62% by November that's when the elections are happening and that's more than half s..."
Jun 10, 2024
Pending